“New daily cases” and the second wave The media are renewing panic thanks to a “second wave”, but are we really seeing one? And what does “daily cases” actually mean?
The “new daily cases” are none of the above. The “second wave” is likely the result of increased testing. The more people you test, the more “infections” you will find, (especially when your test has a known risk of false positives). If you increase the number of tests you run, you will increase the number of infections you find. That is not a disease spreading. In the spring the UK was testing 10,000s of people per day. As of last week, they claim to be testing half a million. From estimated false positive rates alone, that’s between 4000 and 20,000 “new cases” per day.
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